"However, we also have to acknowledge that many decisions are closer to even, that they're 60-40 choices or 55-45 ones or even 52-48 ones, and using the outcomes of those decisions to pretend they were 95-5 discredits all analysis. The choices made by Don Mattingly on Friday and by Matt Williams on Saturday were defensible, and had each chosen the other's path, that would have been defensible as well. At least here, neither manager deserves scorn for his particular choice just because of the outcomes."