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The Reds spent money last winter, winning with Nick Martinez and losing, as predicted, with Pagan and Jeimer Candelario. Those two are set to combine for about 25% of the Reds’ cash payroll and, just using FanGraphs here, one fWAR. The mistakes of one winter will be paid for across two seasons. The Reds could use that $25 million on better players, and not being able to do so could be very costly in a season when their core is ready to win.
