This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.
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The Dodgers have the best team in baseball, the best ownership, a top-five farm system, and now two titles in five years. They’re the favorite to repeat. Here’s the thing, though. If you advance them to the Division Series by acclamation and make them a 60/40 favorite in every playoff series, they’d have just a 22% chance to win the World Series. Make them a farcical 67/33 favorite in every series -- completely unrealistic in baseball -- and they’d still have just a 29% chance of winning it all. The Dodgers may be maxing out everything a team can do to win, and they still can’t squeeze the drama out of the season.
