Monday, October 13, 2025

Newsletter Excerpt, October 14, 2025 -- "Postseason 2025: Thinking Inside the Box"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. This is the best time to become a Newsletter subscriber -- playoff coverage has been where it shines for 15 years!

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I can hold two positions at once. One, Roki Sasaki isn’t quite the golden god he looked like last week, and two, I’d let Roki Sasaki fresh off a dizzy-bat race pitch in max leverage before I’d give the ball to Blake Treinen. Roberts, who has regressed to his big-mistake days of the 2010s, got away with one last night. If seeing Treinen get a 27th out makes him more likely to ask Treinen to get another one, the Brewers will probably steal a game back because of that.


Newsletter Excerpt, October 13, 2025 -- "Postseason 2025: NLCS Preview"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. This is the best time to become a Newsletter subscriber -- playoff coverage has been where it shines for 15 years!

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The Brewers do run the bases aggressively, and that makes for an interesting battle. Andy Pages, who will start in center every day, has one of the best arms in baseball. Alex Call and Teoscar Hernandez are not far behind him. At the other end of the spectrum, Tommy Edman and Enrique Hernandez don’t throw well at all. Given how little the latter two bring to the table, I’d like to see Call get more playing time, as his defense -- he’s a fringy center fielder and good on the corners -- could have a lot of value in keeping the Brewers from running wild. No team scored from second on a single more than the Brewers did. No team was within 20 runs of them.  
 
 

Newsletter Excerpt, October 13, 2025 -- "Postseason 2025: Miller Time in Labatt’s Land"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. This is the best time to become a Newsletter subscriber -- playoff coverage has been where it shines for 15 years!

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Even in winning, Miller’s box score line wasn’t that impressive: three walks and three strikeouts in those six frames. Watching the game, though, you could see him executing a plan. Miller’s four-seam fastball has a lot of what your grandma would have called “rise,” followed by someone like me wagging their finger and saying “you can’t make a baseball rise, old lady.” What you can do, though, is make it drop less than a ball thrown overhand from a mound 60 feet away should. This illusion of rise is now called “induced vertical break.” A good IVB on a fastball is 17 inches. Miller’s last night averaged 18 inches and touched 20, which is elite. As was your grandma. 
 

Sunday, October 12, 2025

Newsletter Excerpt, October 12, 2025 -- "Postseason 2025: ALCS Preview"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. This is the best time to become a Newsletter subscriber -- playoff coverage has been where it shines for 15 years!

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At the start of the playoffs, I had the Mariners winning the AL pennant. One of the hardest things about covering the postseason is not overweighting the thing you just saw. The Blue Jays erased a team that was of 100-win quality by underlying metrics, while the Mariners struggled to put away one that squeaked into the playoffs and was the worst of the eight left in the tournament. That’s additional information; it’s just important to remember all the information that was already there. I think the Mariners will be able to hold down the Jays with their right-handed pitching -- or maybe just the absence of lefties -- and revert to their in-season home-run rate against the Jays’ staff. At least one of these games will turn on the Jays’ pen, which is its weakest unit. Mariners in five
 
 

Saturday, October 11, 2025

Newsletter Excerpt, October 11, 2025 -- "Postseason 2025: Here We Are Now, Entertain Us"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. This is the best time to become a Newsletter subscriber -- playoff coverage has been where it shines for 15 years!

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Some games are won. This one was lost.

The Tigers and Mariners both blew a lead. They each left a Homecoming Court on base. The Tigers went 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position, the Mariners 2-for-11. The two teams combined to strike out 37 times against a meager 16 hits. I can frame that as a pitching accomplishment, but the 11 walks, four hit batsmen, and a throwing error weaken the argument. It was a fairly crisp pitchers’ duel for six innings, and a mess for the nine that followed. Four players went 0-for-6, four others went 0-for-5.  
 
 

Friday, October 10, 2025

Newsletter Excerpt, October 10, 2025 -- "Postseason 2025: No Tomorrow"

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. This is the best time to become a Newsletter subscriber -- playoff coverage has been where it shines for 15 years!

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Kerkering booted the ball, threw to the wrong base, then tried to hit Sandy Koufax on the fly. He did all this in the time it took you to read that sentence. 
 
Ballplayers make mistakes, even silly ones, even ones that cost ballgames, turn wins into losses. They play 162 games, though, so there’s always tomorrow. That’s the whole culture of baseball, go get ‘em tomorrow. We do this every day. For Kerkering, though, as it was for that sunburned teenager in the summer of ’84, there is no tomorrow. That was the final play of the season, his stacked errors finishing off the 2025 Phillies, maybe even finishing off this era of Phillies baseball. He doesn’t get to go get ‘em tomorrow. He doesn’t get to go get ‘em for six months.